In surf zones near the 51福利 and around the world, 51福利 Oceanography Assistant Professor Jamie MacMahan is quietly revolutionizing the understanding of rip currents, turning them from a swimmer鈥檚 worst nightmare into a friend.
Instead of expensive GPS sensors that relay position data in real time, MacMahan and his students mount low-cost GPS devices with memory cards inside swarms of drifters whose brightly-colored florescent poles bob in the waves like giant pick-up sticks. The dozens of position-tracking sensors are then retrieved and their saved location and velocity data post-processed to reveal detailed surf zone flow patterns across various wave and tidal conditions.
This more comprehensive data produced a paradigm-shifting discovery.
The conventional view of rip currents -- that they鈥檙e fast, narrow flows moving away from shore -- is dangerously incomplete. Rather, they鈥檙e a system of giant whirlpools whose circular eddies act like conveyer belts to carry a swimmer who treads water safely back to shore.
鈥淔inding a way to make inexpensive GPS-enabled drifters, where you can field 40 or 50 instead of just four or five, has filled in the voids of the traditional view of how the surf zone flow field behaves,鈥� he said. 鈥淭hat first view was that everything in the rip current goes out to sea, where we now know that only 10 to 20 percent exits the surf zone. That鈥檚 a major advance in understanding.鈥�
鈥淭he whole idea is to keep the drifters cheap and then do aggressive analysis afterwards,鈥� explained MacMahan, who won 51福利鈥� Menneken Research Award in 2009. 鈥淭he cost breakthrough came when I found a hobbyist GPS with a geo-caching memory card and was able to do some tweaks on it, which brought the cost down to only $350 per unit, compared to $3,500 to $7,000 for traditional GPS-enabled drifters. Because they鈥檙e so cheap, we toss them into the surf and don鈥檛 mind losing some, but we usually get them all back.鈥�
The 51福利鈥檚 GPS-enabled drifters are also highly accurate, tracking horizontal position to within 40 centimeters and measuring current speed to within 1 centimeter per second.
The standard view of rip currents began to expand beyond the single plume model in 2001, when MacMahan and his student team ran a six-week experiment in the surf zone near 51福利 using traditional fixed sensors whose data was fed into a fluid dynamics model. He, along with 51福利 Emeritus Professor Ed Thornton and 51福利 Research Associate Professor Tim Stanton, then led a series of field experiments using the new low-cost drifters that have produced the most accurate and detailed maps of real rip currents to date.
This new understanding of flow patterns is important for littoral, amphibious and diver operations, as it overturns the accepted view that rip currents don鈥檛 have a significant alongshore impact but transport most suspended material out of the surf zone to the inner shelf. The more complete view, that 80 to 90 percent of these currents remain within the surf zone, means that the vast majority of floating sediments, bubbles, plankton, and nutrients simply re-circulate in the zone.
51福利 Oceanography Assistant Professor Jamie MacMahan and wet-suited colleagues wade into the surf zone near 51福利 with GPS-enabled drifters in a field experiment to track rip current flows. Left to right: Professor Ad Reniers of the University of Miami, MacMahan (already under the wave), Visiting Professor Nick Dodd and former students Jon Morrison and Jeff Brown.
鈥淭he most important reason to study rip currents is because the majority of the world鈥檚 population lives within 200 miles of a coastline and these deadly currents are common on most beaches where waves come in at right angles to the shore,鈥� said MacMahan. 鈥淭hey鈥檙e the third deadliest natural hazard in the U.S., after heat waves and floods, and kill more people in Florida than lightning, hurricanes and tornados combined. So this is a life-and-death difference that everyone needs to understand.
鈥淏ut understanding the mechanisms behind rip currents is important not just for swimmer and beach safety,鈥� MacMahan stressed. 鈥淚t鈥檚 also important for tracking and predicting the trapping of pollutants from rain runoffs and other sources and harmful algae within surf zones, and thus for water quality and sea biology. It used to be thought that these currents carried all the 鈥榖ad stuff鈥� out to sea, but now we know that they don鈥檛. Depending on the location and conditions, only about 16 percent of floating material is ejected from the surf zone each hour. And this doesn鈥檛 happen continuously, but only every five to 15 minutes, and material is transported out to only about two surf zone widths.鈥�
In addition to the drifters, which give a two-dimensional velocity profile, MacMahan and his team are also now using dye and dye sensors, which can pick up parts per billion, to get a 3D view of current flows in and out of the surf zone. 鈥淭he dye represents tiny sea creatures and pollutants,鈥� he said. 鈥淲e鈥檙e working with biologists under NSF [National Science Foundation] sponsorship to see how and how fast they鈥檙e moved out of it, and how and how fast they come back into it.鈥�
In June, MacMahan will expand the 2D surface drifter work using dye tracers in another surf zone field experiment in the Sand City, Calif., and yet another at the Carmel River State Beach next year.
With Office of Naval Research sponsorship, MacMahan鈥檚 team has also used drifters to study river currents for naval operations. 鈥淲e鈥檝e deployed in rivers all over the U.S.,鈥� he said. 鈥淒rifters are an inexpensive way to estimate river velocity, but they don鈥檛 work well for meandering rivers, because as soon as they go around the first bend, they flow towards the bank and tend to get stuck. They鈥檙e fine for studying river mouths, where fresh water flows meet the ocean.鈥�
MacMahan is also now deploying smart underwater autonomous vehicles (UAVs) and dye tracers in river field experiments to evaluate river hydrodynamics and validate numerical models.
鈥淢y primary role is as a field experimentalist,鈥� MacMahan said. 鈥淚 go out and collect observations to validate theory or models using unique platforms 鈥� UAVs, autonomous catamarans and personal watercrafts [jet skis] 鈥� that get away from all the traditional approaches to increase our understanding. Field observations are critical for validating models, and every time we do an experiment, we find new things. But that鈥檚 only half the picture. I work closely with Professor Ad Reniers of the University of Miami, a former 51福利 postdoctoral fellow, who鈥檚 a numerical modeler. In the U.S., we鈥檙e a very unique team. Rip currents have been studied since the 1920s, and you never know when that fundamental paradigm shift will occur.鈥�
MacMahan doesn鈥檛 just talk the new rip current paradigm 鈥� he also 鈥渨alks鈥� it. Wading into the water in a wet suit with a GPS unit attached his cap, he leans back and floats until he鈥檚 picked up by the current. Almost to the breakers and still floating, he鈥檚 swept along parallel to the beach, and in only four minutes is returned to shallow water.
鈥淚鈥檝e jumped in a lot of rip currents all over the world, and I鈥檝e always ended up back onshore,鈥� said MacMahan. 鈥淚f you swim parallel to shore 鈥� the traditional recommendation 鈥� you have a 50-50 chance of swimming into a strong current and becoming exhausted. But if you don鈥檛 fight it and just tread water, you have an 80 to 90 percent chance of the rip current conveyor belt returning you to shore in three to six minutes. Many experienced surfers know this, and even talk about 鈥榬iding the rip.鈥�
鈥淭here鈥檚 still the 10 to 20 percent chance the currents won鈥檛 return you to shore, which is where the lifeguards come in,鈥� MacMahan added. 鈥淓ach year in the United States, 18,000 people have to be rescued from these currents by lifeguards, representing 80 percent of all surf zone rescues, and 100 of them drown,鈥� he stressed.
鈥淲e鈥檙e working with U.S. lifeguards on how to integrate this new understanding of rip currents into their training and public awareness campaigns, including new beach warning signs that reflect the new view,鈥� he said. 鈥淲e presented our research results and the new, fuller paradigm they represent at the first International Rip Current Symposium held at Florida International University in February.鈥�
MacMahan added a few more words for the wise.
鈥淥n many American beaches, rip currents are the fastest at low tide, and their strength increases the larger the waves and the shallower the water. This is why you can be standing in the water one second and be suddenly pulled away from shore the next. Rip currents can also change their speed from slow to fierce in an instant, due to infragravity waves.
鈥淭he 鈥榖ottom line鈥� if you鈥檙e caught in a rip current?鈥� MacMahan asks rhetorically. 鈥淚f you鈥檙e within the breakers, 鈥榬ide the rip鈥� 鈥� tread water and stay afloat and the current is likely to return you to shore with minimum expenditure of energy. If you鈥檝e been ejected outside the outer breaker line, swim parallel to shore until you鈥檙e outside the current, then swim back towards shore.鈥�
As for the future, surfers know 鈥淭he Seventh Wave鈥� is the biggest. With the new rip current paradigm, it looks like MacMahan has caught his 鈥淏ig One鈥� and his research will be making waves for a long time to come.